UI's Keys handicaps Golden Globes

UI's Keys handicaps Golden Globes

For a best guess on the winners of tonight's Golden Globes awards, we turned to Henson Keys, head of the acting program at the University of Illinois.

A member of the Actors' Equity Association for 40 years, Keys has acted in or directed more than 120 productions in New York and at professional theaters nationwide.

He's performed in 40 Shakespeare productions — this past summer alone he appeared as King Lear in two different ones.

Because his teaching schedule doesn't allow for TV and film work, Keys is on "honorable withdrawal" from the Screen Actors Guild-American Federation of Television and Radio Artists union.

"First, let me say that the Golden Globes are very difficult to predict, because the Hollywood Foreign Press Association voters are notoriously idiosyncratic in their film tastes," Keys said. "So I'm going to pick a winner and add the film that I think SHOULD win."

BEST MOTION PICTURE — DRAMA

Will win: "Gravity"

Should win: "12 Years a Slave."

"I think it's a toss-up between these two, but I expect the chilling beauty of the space epic will top the gritty, violent power of 'Slave.'"

BEST MOTION PICTURE — MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Will win: "American Hustle"

Should win: "Nebraska"

"I have a tough time wrapping my head around the notion that either of these films is really a 'comedy.' Still, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association usually goes for the bigger, noisier experience over the intimate — last year the wretched 'Les Miserables' won this category."

BEST ACTRESS — MOTION PICTURE DRAMA

Will win: Cate Blanchett, "Blue Jasmine"

Should win: Blanchett

"Blanchett is the odds-on Oscar favorite, but I'd say watch out for late-closing Judi Dench ('Philomena') — and also, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association loves Sandra Bullock ('Gravity')."

BEST ACTOR — MOTION PICTURE DRAMA

Will win: Chiwetel Ejiofor, "12 Years a Slave"

Should win: Ejiofor

"An extremely tough category to pick and includes five stunning performances, but I think Ejiofor's remarkable journey will edge out the popular Tom Hanks ('Captain Phillips'). And don't count out Robert Redford ('All is Lost')."

BEST ACTRESS — MOTION PICTURE MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Will win: Meryl Streep, "August: Osage County"

Should win: Amy Adams, "American Hustle"

"I haven't seen 'August: Osage County' yet, but I expect the Streep magic will take this one. Amy Adams was superb in 'American Hustle,' and Greta Gerwig ('Frances Ha') is a possible dark horse."

BEST ACTOR — MOTION PICTURE MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Will win: Bruce Dern, "Nebraska"

Should win: Dern

"'Nebraska' was my personal favorite film of the year, and Dern's work was brilliant. This is another tough pick, and I would not be upset if either Christian Bale ('American Hustle') or Leonardo diCaprio ('The Wolf of Wall Street') prevailed."

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Will win: Jennifer Lawrence, "American Hustle"

Should win: Lupita Nyong'o, "12 Years a Slave"

"This just seems to be 'The Year of Jennifer Lawrence.' Nyong'o's harrowing portrayal in '12 Years a Slave' was a vivid and stunning performance, if the violence was tough to watch."

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Will win: Jared Leto, "Dallas Buyers Club"

Should win: Michael Fassbender, "12 Years a Slave"

"Leto was doing more than acting — he was channeling this character. But I thought Fassbender showed great depth and emotional range."

BEST DIRECTOR

Will win: Alfonso Cuaron, "Gravity"

Should win: Alexander Payne, "Nebraska"

"The scope and scale of 'Gravity' should win this for Cuaron, as again I expect the Hollywood Foreign Press Association to pick the epic over the intimate."

BEST TELEVISION DRAMA SERIES

Will win: "Breaking Bad"

Should win: "Downton Abbey"

"I really can't argue with the pick of 'Breaking Bad' — its searing final season was uniformly excellent. But there's no television I look forward to more than 'Downton.'"

BEST ACTOR — TELEVISION DRAMA SERIES

Will win: Kevin Spacey, "House of Cards"

Should win: Bryan Cranston, "Breaking Bad"

"Just a hunch that the Hollywood Foreign Press Association wants to give kudos to Netflix for this fine series, and Spacey is very good indeed. Cranston deserves another nod for his work in the final season."

BEST ACTRESS — TELEVISION DRAMA SERIES

Will win: Kerry Washington, "Scandal"

Should win: Robin Wright, "House of Cards"

"I am most definitely not on the Kerry Washington bandwagon. I would actually choose any one of the other nominees over her. But I think the Hollywood Foreign Press Association is on said bandwagon."

BEST TELEVISION COMEDY SERIES

Will win: "Girls"

Should win: "Girls"

"HBO's Lena Dunham comedy has kept its sharp-edged humor intact this season. Dark horse: the under-appreciated 'Parks and Recreation.'"

BEST ACTOR — TELEVISION COMEDY SERIES

Will win: Michael J. Fox, "The Michael J. Fox Show"

Should win: Fox or Don Cheadle, "House of Lies"

"The popular Fox is the likely winner even though his show is struggling in the ratings."

BEST ACTRESS — TELEVISION COMEDY SERIES

Will win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, "Veep"

Should win: Dreyfus or Lena Dunham, "Girls"

"I see this as a toss-up between HBO stars Louis-Dreyfus and Denham. But the dark horse is the little-awarded Amy Poehler — could it be her year?"

BEST MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Will win: "Beyond the Candelabra"

Should win: "Beyond the Candelabra"

"What's not to like about this Liberace biopic? Glitz, glamour and great performances from Michael Douglas, Matt Damon and Rob Lowe."

BEST ACTOR — MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Will win: Michael Douglas, "Beyond the Candelabra"

Should win: Douglas

"Douglas' rather creepy Liberace was a marvelous physical and vocal transformation. In case he and Matt Damon split the vote, it could make an opening for Chiwetel Ejiofor ('Dancing on the Edge')."

BEST ACTRESS — MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Will win: Jessica Lange, "American Horror Story: Coven"

Should win: Elisabeth Moss, "Top of the Lake"

"Lange has been terrific throughout the three seasons of 'American Horror Story,' in three very different roles. And even though this 'Coven' season has been weak, I think she wins."

Golden Globes: Three things to watch

1. Get ready to laugh

Funny women Tina Fey and Amy Poehler will relive their "Saturday Night Live" days as they host the 71st ceremony tonight from the Beverly Hilton Hotel in Beverly Hills, Calif. "American Hustle" and "12 Years a Slave" are each up for seven awards, and "Nebraska" is up for five.

2. History lesson

The Golden Globes have been awarded for seven decades. The big winner for 1943 was "The Song of Bernadette," which won Best Picture, Best Lead Actress (Jennifer Jones) and Best Director (Henry King). "For Whom the Bell Tolls" took home two awards that year: Best Supporting Actor (Akim Tamiroff) and Best Supporting Actress (Katina Paxinou).

3. Big winners

Meryl Streep (who is nominated this year for her role in "August: Osage County") holds the record for most competitive Golden Globes with eight acting awards, though Barbra Streisand has two honorary awards that bring her overall total to nine. Jack Nicholson, Angela Lansbury and Alan Alda have six each.

Topics (2):Film, Television

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