Predictions for Oscar nominations

Predictions for Oscar nominations

Since 2007, staff writer Tim Mitchell has predicted who will get nominated for the Academy Awards (the official announcement is at 7:30 a.m. Thursday; the 86th Academy Awards show is March 2). Here is Mitchell's forecast for this year, with projected nominees in alphabetical order:

BEST PICTURE

— "American Hustle"

— "The Butler"

— "Captain Phillips"

— "Dallas Buyers Club"

— "Gravity"

— "Her"

— "Nebraska"

— "Saving Mr. Banks"

— "12 Years a Slave"

— "The Wolf of Wall Street"

Comment: The academy nominates five to 10 films, determined under a complicated preferential voting system. In general, it is better for a film to be loved by a small and passionate group instead of liked by a much larger group — as long as that group isn't much smaller than 5 percent of the academy.

BEST DIRECTOR

— Alfonso Cuaron, "Gravity"

— Paul Greengrass, "Captain Phillips"

— Steve McQueen, "12 Years a Slave"

— David O. Russell, "American Hustle"

— Martin Scorsese, "The Wolf of Wall Street"

Comment: There's some sentiment for Alexander Payne ("Nebraska") or Spike Jonze ("Her"), but I think this is the five. Note that it is uncomm- on for a film to win best picture without at least being nominated for best director as well.

BEST ACTOR

— Bruce Dern, "Nebraska"

— Chiwetel Ejiofor, "12 Years a Slave"

— Tom Hanks, "Captain Phillips"

— Matthew McConaughey, "Dallas Buyers Club"

— Robert Redford, "All Is Lost"

Comment: Leonardo DiCaprio has a slim chance to be nominated for "The Wolf of Wall Street."

BEST ACTRESS

— Amy Adams, "American Hustle"

— Cate Blanchett, "Blue Jasmine"

— Sandra Bullock, "Gravity"

— Judi Dench, "Philomena"

— Emma Thompson, "Saving Mr. Banks"

Comment: Meryl Streep has an outside shot to get nominated for "August: Osage County."

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

— Barkhad Abdi, "Captain Phillips"

— Bradley Cooper, "American Hustle"

— Michael Fassbender, "12 Years a Slave"

— Tom Hanks, "Saving Mr. Banks"

— Jared Leto, "Dallas Buyers Club"

Comment: Cooper, Hanks and Daniel Bruhl from "Rush" figure to battle it out for the last two nominations. There also might be sentiment for a posthumous nod to James Gandolfini for "Enough Said."

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

— Jennifer Lawrence, "American Hustle"

— Lupita Nyong'o, "12 Years a Slave"

— Julia Roberts, "August: Osage County"

— June Squibb, "Nebraska"

— Oprah Winfrey, "The Butler"

Comment: This should be the megalithic battle of this year's Oscars: Imagine Nyong'o, a favorite of the critics, facing off against Katniss herself and Oprah!

Topics (1):Film

Comments

News-Gazette.com embraces discussion of both community and world issues. We welcome you to contribute your ideas, opinions and comments, but we ask that you avoid personal attacks, vulgarity and hate speech. We reserve the right to remove any comment at our discretion, and we will block repeat offenders' accounts. To post comments, you must first be a registered user, and your username will appear with any comment you post. Happy posting.

Login or register to post comments