Predictions for Oscar nominations

Predictions for Oscar nominations

Since 2007, staff writer Tim Mitchell has predicted who will get nominated for the Academy Awards (the official announcement is at 7:30 a.m. Thursday; the 86th Academy Awards show is March 2). Here is Mitchell's forecast for this year, with projected nominees in alphabetical order:


— "American Hustle"

— "The Butler"

— "Captain Phillips"

— "Dallas Buyers Club"

— "Gravity"

— "Her"

— "Nebraska"

— "Saving Mr. Banks"

— "12 Years a Slave"

— "The Wolf of Wall Street"

Comment: The academy nominates five to 10 films, determined under a complicated preferential voting system. In general, it is better for a film to be loved by a small and passionate group instead of liked by a much larger group — as long as that group isn't much smaller than 5 percent of the academy.


— Alfonso Cuaron, "Gravity"

— Paul Greengrass, "Captain Phillips"

— Steve McQueen, "12 Years a Slave"

— David O. Russell, "American Hustle"

— Martin Scorsese, "The Wolf of Wall Street"

Comment: There's some sentiment for Alexander Payne ("Nebraska") or Spike Jonze ("Her"), but I think this is the five. Note that it is uncomm- on for a film to win best picture without at least being nominated for best director as well.


— Bruce Dern, "Nebraska"

— Chiwetel Ejiofor, "12 Years a Slave"

— Tom Hanks, "Captain Phillips"

— Matthew McConaughey, "Dallas Buyers Club"

— Robert Redford, "All Is Lost"

Comment: Leonardo DiCaprio has a slim chance to be nominated for "The Wolf of Wall Street."


— Amy Adams, "American Hustle"

— Cate Blanchett, "Blue Jasmine"

— Sandra Bullock, "Gravity"

— Judi Dench, "Philomena"

— Emma Thompson, "Saving Mr. Banks"

Comment: Meryl Streep has an outside shot to get nominated for "August: Osage County."


— Barkhad Abdi, "Captain Phillips"

— Bradley Cooper, "American Hustle"

— Michael Fassbender, "12 Years a Slave"

— Tom Hanks, "Saving Mr. Banks"

— Jared Leto, "Dallas Buyers Club"

Comment: Cooper, Hanks and Daniel Bruhl from "Rush" figure to battle it out for the last two nominations. There also might be sentiment for a posthumous nod to James Gandolfini for "Enough Said."


— Jennifer Lawrence, "American Hustle"

— Lupita Nyong'o, "12 Years a Slave"

— Julia Roberts, "August: Osage County"

— June Squibb, "Nebraska"

— Oprah Winfrey, "The Butler"

Comment: This should be the megalithic battle of this year's Oscars: Imagine Nyong'o, a favorite of the critics, facing off against Katniss herself and Oprah!

Topics (1):Film

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