Tyler Griffey: not a one hit wonder…
Really happy to see Tyler continue the momentum from the IU game, and really happy overall to see another game in which the Illini were able to scrap and claw from behind. What I saw last night reminded me of the Illini we saw to start the season, at least in their shooting prowess. And although TG gets the lead highlight clip in this blog post, honorable mention goes to Tracy Abrams, who had three of his five points (and his only field goal) in the most clutch of times.
Ok, so NOW what do we think of the Illini’s postseason chances? If the team continues its hot streak, I’m looking at five more Big Ten wins – Purdue, Northwestern, Penn State, Nebraska, and Iowa – which puts them at 9-9 with four wins over ranked teams and a healthy RPI. That’s a definite dance invite. Slip to 8-10, you’re still looking pretty good. Slip to 7-11, then it’s a 50-50 shot, and if your late season losses are to bad teams, you hurt your chances even more. But as I said, I don’t see that happening, which means a tournament berth for Coach Groce in his first year…which is a GREAT accomplishment in my opinion.
Looking at the prediction standings, we had four people – teachdacc, buckhunter2, touchdown_illinois, and UIBaton8 – who predicted the margin of victory right on the nose. We had 44 pickers overall this game, with no new faces, and a 43%-57% split in those picking Illinois to Minnesota. Overall, BleedOandB remains in the lead despite his/her incorrect pick. Walko and penniless are second and third, respectively, and there are six folks who are two games off the pace at 5-6. Overall, we held steady at 81 total pickers.
Next up…round two with the Fighting Gene Keadys Matt Painters…
Well, looking at the Illini’s desperate need to get wins now, you look back at the Big Ten opener vs. the Boilers and think about how good it would have been to get that one. But like Rafiki says, there’s no sense in living in the past, so let’s take a look at how the Boilers have fared since that January 2nd matchup. They’ve gone 5-6 while more or less winning the games they were favored in, including an out of conference win vs. West Virginia. Their stats show that they’re still a low scoring team (65 PPG) that attacks the paint in lieu of shooting threes (4 threes made per game…0/10 from long range vs. Penn State…over half of their scoring coming in the paint…you get the idea.). AJ Hammons may not be a household name yet, but he’s been strong for the Boilers lately (17 PPG & 10 RPG over the last five games). That assignment will probably be split between Egwu and McLaurin, so their ability to contain the seven-footer could be the difference maker in this one.
As usual on a Monday, I got to listen to some of the B1G coaches talk about the week ahead on their weekly teleconference. Here's Coach Groce on gameplanning for AJ Hammons...
And here's Purdue Coach Matt Painter on the wacky B1G season so far.
Predicition-wise, this is a fairly easy one. Illinois is riding high and desperate for wins…Purdue is a .500 team and in a down year…and honestly, the two teams’ last meeting doesn’t affect my choice much since so much time has passed and the teams have evolved a lot since then. The Illini jump out in front early en route to…
MY PREDICTION: Illinois 69, Purdue 57
So it’s another quick turnaround prediction-wise. Do your research, talk to your dog, look at your magic 8 ball, do whatever you do, but get your pick in by 8 PM Wednesday. Again, if you haven’t missed a game so far this year, you’re highly encouraged to keep picking to stay in the running for the season prize.
-Tim
COMING UP ON WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY: Purdue Thoughts, Prediction Standings, & Northwestern Predictions.
Between you and Barnhart, is it WDWS policy to unnecessarily use ellipses over and over again, or just an unfortunate style decision both of you coincidentally made by yourselves? You're not nearly as bad as he is about it. I think he intentionally makes his blog entries unreadable with it. Or he's sneaking in subliminal messages somehow. Either way, he must be stopped.
I feel like the win against Minny was bigger than most (not the people on this site) realize for the team's confidence. Let's get the snowball rolling down the hill toward the big dance.
Ill - 70 Purdue - 64 (And they double Hammons like they did Mbakwe and DJ stops Bryd)
Ilini still weak in close,but look for more of the same defense that Minny faced.This time Purdue will not prevail. Illini 71 Purdue 59 Our struggle starts with NU,UM,IW and ends with OSU,away games stink.To end with back to back losses just might pull the rug,we will see.
That was another HUGE win for Illinois at Minnesota Sunday, even if Minnesota is struggling right now. Any win on the road in conference play is big. Throw in that Minnesota was ranked in top 25 last week, and you have another very good win the selection committee's eyes. Let's see how we respond after is probably the best week in Illinois basketball in about 3 years. As we know, this team hasn't handled success very well the last couple of years.
I think we match up well with purdue. Hammons has made some really good improvement over the course of the season and it is ok for him to get his points. We just can't let him get easy points and can't let Byrd get comfortable/open looks. The Johnson brothers (and there is a 3rd johnson i think) are good, but our guards can handle them. I think we make just enough shots and win in an ugly one.
Purdue: 53
Illinois: 59
It is so nice to see Tyler playing well again. When he plays/shoots well, this Illini team have a lot of wepons on offense. If they can keep up their defensive intensity, and continue to shoot the ball well, they could make a run in the tournament. But first they have to get there, and they need to beat Purdue to do that. Keep it up Illini!
Illini-73
Boiler boys-65
Great wins this past week, but if I know anything about the Illini, whenever they take 2 steps forward, they retreat backwards as fast as humanly possibly. It will truly be interesting to see how they come out against Purdue as they go from being a big underdog to the favorite against a team that has had their number. I think they can and should win, but Purdue does have decent defense, and this might be a bit uglier game than the Illini like playing. I think Illinois can and should win, but I have a feeling this one is a heartbreaker and gets everyone upset. That's unfortunately life here...
Purdue: 61
Illinois: 58
With Illinois leading late but unable to make a field goal in the final 4 minutes allowing Purdue to steal it.
Love my streak of being wrong. Everything says Illini are due to win this, but we have been Painter's whipping boys. And this is a trap game though I hope the Seniors are tired of losing to Purdue. Btw, a Russian person once told me that Purdue means fart in Russian. A quick Google search seems to confirm.
Matt's Methane 69 John's Jock 68
This is BIG statement game for the Illini. We have lost 8 straight to Purdue. Matt Painter and his players know very well how to break the Illini down. We must come ready just as we did for Indiana and Minnesota. Purdue is no exception to the rule and nothing about winning this game will be easy. I think we will win this game but it will come in dramatic fashion. There is no reason to think Purdue will not take us to the wire.
I am very proud of the resolve these kids showed in their last 2 games. They have matured a little bit from last year's team. Now, can they take another step forward. Illinois could be a team of no one wants in their bracket.
Illinois 62
Purdue 59
Am I not in the standings anymore for season records? ;) I know your busy and its not making or breaking my day. Appreciate the articles, specifically with the dynamics to them being able to archive audio and statistical information with ease.
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