Efficiency Stats: Brandon Paul, Ladies & Gentlemen!

Efficiency Stats: Brandon Paul, Ladies & Gentlemen!

What a way for the senior to play in his final Big Ten Tournament!


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UPDATE: No movement overall in the updated Ken Pomeroy rankings this morning.  Illinois remains at #42 overall.  After yesterday's game, the Illini offense went down a few spots, while the defense moved up to #47, which is the highest since I've been doing these updates.  We'll see if the Illini can pull off the upset later this morning.  Click the link above for the complete rankings.






Well, that was exciting, wasn't it?

Of course, that play doesn't happen without this one.

Here are the numbers from this one.  Not pretty for the Illini on offense, but they didn't turn it over (only six for the game), which gave them just enough to win.

  • Illinois 0.93 PPP
  • Illinois 37.5 eFG%
  • Illinois 11.0 TO% (that's pretty amazing)
  • Illinois 30.8 OReb%

Minnesota did much better offensively in the second half, but appropriately enough it was a turnover that did them in with the game on the line.

  • Minnesota 0.90 PPP
  • Minnesota 47.5 eFG%
  • Minnesota 34.8 TO% (actually much better in the second half)
  • Minnesota 44.0 OReb%

I'll try to update the season-to-date numbers tomorrow morning before the Indiana game.


The Illini weren't anything special on offense in the first half, on their way to a 25-16 lead at the break.

  • Illinois 0.93 PPP
  • Illinois 43.8 eFG%
  • Illinois 14.9 TO%
  • Illinois 20.0 OReb%

None of those numbers are great.  The turnover percentage was low, but Abrams had a few unforced turnovers late in the half to keep the Illini from expanding their lead.  As for Minnesota, well, they'd like a do-over.

  • Minnesota 0.59 PPP
  • Minnesota 31.8 eFG%
  • Minnesota 40.9 TO% (no, that's not a misprint, they turned over on 41% of their possessions)
  • Minnesota 47.1 OReb% (that's the only reason the Gophers are as close as they are)

More to come after the game.



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aaeismacgychel wrote on March 14, 2013 at 6:03 pm

Thanks for doing the work on this. I'm going to try getting you Brandon Paul's individual efficiency statistics for this game when they come available, because I'm fairly certain they're going to be an eye-popping number. What a performance by him today and the Illini defense as a whole on a day when it seemed no Illini player outside of Brandon Paul could buy a bucket

Brian Moline wrote on March 15, 2013 at 9:03 am
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No problem.  It's been fun.  I'd certainly be interested to see Paul's individual numbers for yesterday.  With as well as he shot, and no turnovers, they should be off the charts.

aaeismacgychel wrote on March 15, 2013 at 2:03 pm

Brandon Paul with 25pts on 10-16 shooting, 4 def rbs, 1 off rebs, 2ast, 2stl, and 0tos managed to get an impressive 1.69 offensive rating (1.69pts per possession on offensive possessions he was directly involved in) on 28% of Illinois possessions.

Meaning, that in the 19 possessions that he was directly involved in ([55poss+12off.reb]*.28), Illinois scored a whopping 19*1.69=32pts of their 51 total points. Or in other words, Brandon Paul individually contributed to 63% of Illinois' scoring. That is simply ridiculous.

But Austin Hollins of Minnesota had almost as ridiculous an effect on the game him self. With 16pts on 4-5 shooting and 5-5 from the line, 6 def rbs, 0 off rebs, 2ast, 1stl, and 2tos managed to get an impressive 1.68 offensive rating on 24% of Minnesota possessions!

Meaning, that in the 16 possessions that he was directly involved in ([55poss+11off.reb]*.24), Minnesota scored 16*1.68=27pts of their 49 total points. Or in other words, Austin Hollins individually contributed to 55% of Minnesota's scoring. That is pretty ridiculous as well.