The New York Times David Brooks has an interesting column today on the dangers of smug certainty - his point being that life is far too complicated for our confident assertions to become reality.
The result, of course, is that those who are confident about what they think will happen are frequently wrong.
His example is George Bush, whose leadership style, takes him from the path of success to failure and back again. The Bush haters will detest reading about any related to Bush that isn't a disaster, but that reaction only reinforces Brooks' point.
Read it for yourself and then apply to your own present and past opinions about the world and where it's heading.