Tropical system “Emily”, currently over the Caribbean Sea will approach the southeastern U.S. by week’s end. Emily’s size, strength, and track will determine U.S. impacts, including how much rain will fall.
Meanwhile, showers and thunderstorms will continue to wrap around a stubborn ridge of upper level high pressure over the south-central U.S. Five-day rainfall totals could reach 1 to 2 inches, with locally higher amounts, from the Four Corners States into the northern Plains, Midwest, and Northeast. Scattered showers will also affect the Southeast.
The heat wave will break later this week across the Midwest but persist through week’s end from the southern Plains into the Southeast.
Looking ahead, the 6- to 10-day outlook calls for wetter-than-normal conditions from the Great Plains into the Midwest.