HQ prediction: Cincinnati 37, UI 20

HQ prediction: Cincinnati 37, UI 20

QUARTERBACKS
2    Nathan Scheelhaase    6-3    205    Sr.    Kansas City, Mo.

4    Munchie Legaux    6-5    200    Sr.    New Orleans
Edge: Cincinnati. Scheelhaase is coming off the best passing game of his career, albeit against an FCS school. Legaux picked apart a Big Ten defense (yes, Purdue still is considered a Big Ten football team), with his feet and his arm, but he was intercepted twice. Brendon Kay, who should play some Saturday, is more of a traditional pocket passer. Kay and Legaux have flip-flopped starts the last two seasons, but Legaux’s impressive showing against the Boilermakers makes it seem likely he’ll start against the Illini.

RUNNING BACKS
5    Donovonn Young    6-0    220    Jr.    Houston

1    Ralph David Abernathy IV    5-7    160    So.    Atlanta
Edge: Cincinnati. Aside from the scatback Abernathy is, the Bearcats also can turn to Hosey Williams and Tion Green to pick up the slack. Green is more of a bruising runner, while Williams is a solid all-around back. All three rushed for touchdowns against Purdue. Young struggled mightily for Illinois last Saturday, which could result in more carries for Josh Ferguson. Finding the hole and going north-south is an emphasis Illinois placed on its backs all offseason. But it was a directive that was hardly carried out against the Salukis.

RECEIVERS
12    Ryan Lankford    6-0    175    Sr.    Jacksonville, Fla.
8    Miles Osei    6-0    200    Sr.    Mount Prospect
80    Spencer Harris    6-3    205    Sr.    Greenwood, Ark.

82    Max Morrison    6-1    173    So.    Kenton, Ohio
19    Shaq Washington    5-9    174    Jr.    Maple Heights, Ohio
15    Chris Moore    6-1    190    So.    Tampa, Fla.
Edge: Illinois. Five Illinois wide receivers caught at least two passes against SIU. Don’t expect the trend to continue against a much-improved Cincinnati secondary, but the Illinois wideouts will have more chances to make plays in Bill Cubit’s pass-friendly offense. Lankford is the featured target for Scheelhaase and could have another 100-yard game. Harris has caught one pass in his last three games for a whopping 1 yard, so don’t envision him having a breakout game. Osei and Martize Barr are nice intermediate options for Illinois, too. Morrison and Moore give Legaux or Kay solid targets, and they have the capability to break a big play.

TIGHT ENDS
3    Jon Davis    6-3    240    Jr.    Louisville, Ky.

86    Blake Annen    6-5    250    Sr.    Upper Arlington, Ohio
Edge: Illinois. Annen had two receptions for 21 yards and a touchdown against Purdue. But Legaux or Kay will utilize the wideouts and running backs more than the tight ends. Davis, Evan Wilson, Matt LaCosse and Tim Clary had a combined six catches for 67 yards, including an 11-yard touchdown from Davis. Bill Cubit used Davis, Wilson and LaCosse on the season’s first play and targeted the tight ends at least once on any meaningful drive Illinois had against SIU.

OFFENSIVE LINE
68    Simon Cvijanovic    6-5    310    Jr.    Cleveland
74    Michael Heitz    6-5    305    Jr.    Vermont
52    Alex Hill    6-3    315    Jr.    Slidell, La.
69    Ted Karras    6-4    300    So.    Indianapolis
70    Corey Lewis    6-6    315    Sr.    Cresco, Pa.

71    Eric Lefeld    6-6    309    Jr.    Coldwater, Ohio
76    Austen Bujnoch    6-5    290    Sr.    Cincinnati
59    Deyshawn Bond    6-2    287    Fr.    Indianapolis
60    Sam Longo    6-5    305    Sr.    Spring Valley, Ohio
78    Parker Ehinger    6-7    292    So.    Rockford, Mich.
Edge: Cincinnati. The Bearcats’ unit gave Legaux and Kay time to throw against Purdue, yielding one sack. Illinois, conversely, gave up five sacks. Not going to cut it the rest of the season. Having Karras back after he missed the Southern Illinois game with a left ankle injury should benefit Illinois. But until Illinois proves it can open running lanes consistently for its backs and allow Scheelhaase a bit more time to throw the ball, Illinois won’t have this advantage.

DEFENSIVE LINE
59    Tim Kynard    6-3    270    Sr.    Toledo, Ohio
95    Jake Howe    6-3    300    Jr.    McHenry
44    Austin Teitsma    6-2    290    Jr.    Glen Ellyn
55    Houston Bates    6-3    250    Jr.    Covington, La.

92    Silverberry Mouhon    6-4    248    So.    Norcross, Ga.
94    Jordan Stepp    6-1    285    Sr.    Indianapolis
46    Mitch Meador    6-4    290    Sr.    Greenwood, Ind.
93    Brad Harrah    6-5    258    Jr.    Marion, Ohio
Edge: Cincinnati. An aggressive, pass-rushing mentality is what the Bearcats have. Illinois is trying to establish that identity. After not disrupting Kory Faulkner much last Saturday, Illinois needs to, somehow, someway, get to whomever Cincinnati has at quarterback much better. If Tim Kynard & Co. don’t, it could make for a long day defensively for the Illini. Cincinnati registered one sack against Purdue, but consistent pressure on Rob Henry flustered the Boilermakers’ offense.

LINEBACKERS
45    Jonathan Brown    6-1    230    Sr.    Memphis, Tenn.
43    Mason Monheim    6-1    235    So.    Orrville, Ohio
34    Mike Svetina    6-2    235    So.    Brunswick, Ohio

43    Nick Temple    5-10    218    Jr.    Indianapolis
51    Greg Blair    6-2    252    Sr.    Pittsburgh
48    Jeff Luc    6-1    251    Jr.    Port St. Lucie, Fla.
Edge: Cincinnati. All three linebackers for Illinois are going to have to put together career-best performances. If the pass rush doesn’t happen for Illinois, Brown, Monheim and Svetina will have to show good discipline in the open field when Cincinnati gets the ball to its playmakers. With Legaux having the ability to run, the Illini will have to stay home on some plays and handle their responsibilities to near perfection. Luc and Blair are big linebackers who combine speed and tenacity to lead an impressive unit.

SECONDARY
2    V’Angelo Bentley    5-10    190    So.    Cleveland
9    Earnest Thomas    6-2    210    Jr.    Orchard Lake, Mich.
3    Taylor Barton    6-1    215    Fr.    Orlando, Fla.
27    Eaton Spence    6-0    185    So.    Belle Glade, Fla.

11    Deven Drane    5-11    187    Sr.    Plantation, Fla.
8    Adrian Witty    5-10    187    Jr.    Deerfield Beach, Fla.
25    Arryn Chenault    6-0    208    Sr.    Cincinnati
2    Trenier Orr    5-11    177    So.    Winter Garden, Fla.
Edge: Cincinnati. Witty returned an interception 41 yards for a touchdown against Purdue. No one on the Illinois roster has done that during his time at the school. Spence played well against the Salukis, coming up with key coverage plays late in the game, and Thomas was a presence against the run. But giving up big plays like Illinois did against the Salukis doesn’t exactly give the fans inside Memorial Stadium the greatest confidence in this unit yet.

SPECIAL TEAMS
17    Taylor Zalewski (K, KO)    6-3    220    So.    Orland Park
18    Justin DuVernois (P)    6-1    190    Jr.    Plantation, Fla.
54    Zach Hirth (LS)    6-4    220    Fr.    Eureka, Mo.
86    Tim Russell (Holder)    6-6    235    Sr.    St. Charles
2    V’Angelo Bentley (PR, KR)    5-10    190    So.    Cleveland
8    Miles Osei (PR, KR)    6-0    200    Sr.    Mount Prospect

14    Tony Miliano (K)    6-2    186    Jr.    North Bend, Ohio
24    John Lloyd (P, Holder)    6-2    237    Jr.    Cincinnati
61    Kirk Willis    6-2    231    So.    Granville, Ohio
19    Shaq Washington (PR, KR)    5-9    174    Jr.    Maple Heights, Ohio
1    Ralph David Abernathy IV    5-7    160    So.    Atlanta

Edge: Even. Illinois had more chances to return kickoffs and punts last week than Cincinnati did and thrived in the return game. Bentley ran back the first kickoff for a touchdown in five years, yet Illinois also missed five tackles in allowing a 60-yard kickoff return. DuVernois’ punting was shaky at times, great on other occasions. Cincinnati did not attempt a field goal, and though Zalewski made field goals from 33 yards and 31 yards, his 32-yard miss wide right can’t happen against the Bearcats.     

COACHES
Tim Beckman    At UI (3-10)    Overall (24-26)    
Tommy Tuberville    At Cincinnati (1-0)    Overall (131-77)    
Edge: Cincinnati. Tuberville has won before at Mississippi, Auburn and Texas Tech. His move to the Bearcats this offseason was a puzzling one, but maybe folks won’t second-guess it if Cincinnati is playing in a BCS bowl. He’s a coaching veteran who has seen just about everything. Well, this is his first time coaching at Memorial Stadium, but the new venue won’t matter much. Tim Beckman needs to remind his staff countless times this week to stay off the field. Repeat, stay off the field. The penalty against defensive coordinator Tim Banks ultimately didn’t hurt Illinois against the Salukis, but it nearly did.

PREDICTION
Don’t anticipate Beckman spouting off countless ‘W’ references after this one. Cincinnati has too much talent, too much confidence and too much to lose if the Bearcats go back to Ohio with a .500 record. Illinois keeps it close until halftime before Cincinnati’s defense stifles Scheelhaase, exposing several of Illinois’ weaknesses. The run game improves a little, but not much, and Illinois will have to stomach a 37-20 loss. (N-G record: 1-0)

Comments

News-Gazette.com embraces discussion of both community and world issues. We welcome you to contribute your ideas, opinions and comments, but we ask that you avoid personal attacks, vulgarity and hate speech. We reserve the right to remove any comment at our discretion, and we will block repeat offenders' accounts. To post comments, you must first be a registered user, and your username will appear with any comment you post. Happy posting.

Login or register to post comments